Posters - WindEurope Annual Event 2024

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Posters

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We would like to invite you to come and see the posters at our upcoming conference. The posters will showcase a diverse range of research topics, and will give delegates an opportunity to engage with the authors and learn more about their work. Whether you are a seasoned researcher or simply curious about the latest developments in your field, we believe that the posters will offer something of interest to everyone. So please join us at the conference and take advantage of this opportunity to learn and engage with your peers in the academic community. We look forward to seeing you there!



PO141: IEA Wind Task 51 Forecasting for the Weather Driven Energy System

Gregor Giebel, Senior Scientist, DTU

Abstract

Electric grid systems that want to operate with a high penetration of weather-driven renewable generation and other weather-related components need an interdisciplinary forecasting approach in order to optimize the system economics and reliability. Therefore, while anchored in IEA Wind, Task 51 activities to maximize forecasting performance and value assume a much wider scope, also encompassing PV, hydro, biomass, hydrogen, storage and other IEA Technology Collaboration Programmes (TCPs). The three existing Work Packages (WPs) of Task 51's predecessor, Task 36 on Wind Energy Forecasting, on NWP Improvements (WP1), Power and Uncertainty Forecasting (WP2) and optimal use of Forecasting Solutions (WP3), are complemented by thirteen work streams in a matrix structure. The three work packages span three distinct areas of challenge in forecasting for the weather driven energy system. The first area is the continuing effort to improve the representation of physical processes in weather forecast models through both new high performance initializations and tailored parameterizations. The second area is the heterogeneity of the forecasters and end users, the full understanding of the uncertainties throughout the modelling chain and the incorporation of novel data into power forecasting algorithms. A third area is representation, communication, and use of these uncertainties to industry in forms that readily support decision-making in plant and grid system operations and electricity markets. Task 51 focuses on facilitating communication and collaborations among international research groups engaged in the improvement of the accuracy and applicability of forecast models and their utility for the stakeholders in the wind industry, in the power sector and in the energy system.


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