Posters - WindEurope Annual Event 2024

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We would like to invite you to come and see the posters at our upcoming conference. The posters will showcase a diverse range of research topics, and will give delegates an opportunity to engage with the authors and learn more about their work. Whether you are a seasoned researcher or simply curious about the latest developments in your field, we believe that the posters will offer something of interest to everyone. So please join us at the conference and take advantage of this opportunity to learn and engage with your peers in the academic community. We look forward to seeing you there!

PO071: Scenarios for offshore wind co-existence opportunities and trade-offs

Sigurd Solheim Pettersen, Senior Researcher, DNV


This paper documents early results from the MARCO project (MARine CO-existence scenario building). MARCO is an ongoing innovation project that seeks to establish a joint knowledge base between offshore wind developers, fisheries, marine aquaculture, and other stakeholders in the ocean space. The political expectations to the offshore wind industry in Europe have been rising ever higher over the last few years. The 2022 Esbjerg Declaration targets were superceded by the 2023 Ostend Declaration, outlining ambitions to grow offshore wind in the North Sea to 300 GW by 2050. Signed by 100 companies across the value chain, the Offshore Renewable Industry Declaration that followed, outlined several action points for governments to realize these ambitions, including inclusion of non-price criteria in auctions. It is critical that offshore wind, together with ocean stakeholders such as fisheries, shipping, regulators, environmental NGOs and civil society representatives engage in a dialogue on the perceived potential for co-existence. There is a clear need for 1) a shared knowledge base about risks and opportunities related to co-existence, and 2) clarity on how risks and opportunities related to co-existence play out under different trajectories for environmental change and industry development. Our paper provides early results from a scenario exploration process, in which alternate scenarios relating to area efficiency and installed capacity are considered. DNVs most likely scenarios are contrasted with a scenario in which the ambitions of the Ostend Declaration are met. This is a first step in a broader process where these key uncertainties for the offshore wind industry will be considered along with topics such as spatial prioritization in marine spatial planning, seafood production, nature conservation, and industry impacts on marine life. Further work will focus on demonstration of the methodology in an industrially relevant environment, with key ocean stakeholders represented.

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