Posters
Come meet the poster presenters to ask them questions and discuss their work
We would like to invite you to come and see the posters at our upcoming conference. The posters will showcase a diverse range of research topics, and will give delegates an opportunity to engage with the authors and learn more about their work. Whether you are a seasoned researcher or simply curious about the latest developments in your field, we believe that the posters will offer something of interest to everyone. So please join us at the conference and take advantage of this opportunity to learn and engage with your peers in industry and the academic community.
PO155: Quantifying supply chain bottlenecks in Europe’s offshore wind expansion
Maëlig Gaborieau, Senior Offshore Wind Analyst, Spinergie
Abstract
Europe has set ambitious offshore wind targets for 2030 and beyond, yet supply chain bottlenecks and escalating costs have already jeopardized projects, calling into question the achievability of these ambitions. This work analyses the balance between offshore wind demand and the European supply capacity of critical components, monopiles, jackets, and nacelles, up to 2035. On the demand side, future offshore wind capacity additions are estimated by tracking developer-awarded projects and upcoming leasing rounds in Europe. Each project is assessed for its likelihood of reaching commissioning, based on factors such as permitting progress, financing, and supply chain feasibility. This approach provides a realistic annual outlook of turbine installations and associated foundation types through 2035. On the supply side, all European factories producing offshore wind components (monopiles, jackets, and nacelles) are mapped, and their past production runs are analysed. By combining transport vessel tracking, public sources, and port activity data, actual deliveries over time can be reconstructed, allowing identification of the maximum annual output each facility has achieved, offering a more realistic picture than nominal nameplate capacities. Building on these historical benchmarks, future production is forecasted to estimate realistic supply availability. Publicly stated capacities are validated against observed performance, while announced expansions, facility upgrades, and new factories are incorporated according to their expected commissioning dates. This approach provides a forward-looking view of Europe’s effective offshore wind manufacturing capacity and highlights that any bottlenecks could result in missed targets domestically or create opportunities for non-European suppliers, particularly in Asia. By confronting yearly supply and demand volumes, this analysis identifies periods where European manufacturing capacity risks falling short of project demand, leading to bottlenecks that could delay Europe’s offshore wind build-out.
No recording available for this poster.
