Thursday, 29 September 2016
14:30 - 16:00 Wake modelling and forecasting
Resource assessment  
          

In the session there will be five presentations on wake modelling and forecasting. They will focus on the limitations in wake modelling including comparison with field data, and will move into short-term power production forecasting as well as studies of uncertainty in wind power forecast methods. 

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Learning objectives

• Understand the latest news regarding limitations and possibilities within wake modelling approaches;
• Exemplify forecast methods and their ability to accurately predict short time ahead production output;
• Address the importance of atmospheric stability in wind power forecasting and wake modelling;
• Determine whether simple linear wake combination methods as presently used in commercial analytical software can correctly represent turbine interactions.

This session will be chaired by:

Abstract ID: 73 science & research
Kester Gunn
Renewable Energy Data Scientist, Uniper, United Kingdom
Limitations to the validity of single wake superposition in wind farm yield assessment

Abstract ID: 99 science & research
Eric Tromeur
Research Engineer, METEODYN, France
Investigation and validation of wake model combinations for large wind farm modelling in neutral atmospheric boundary layers

Abstract ID: 197 science & research
Alla Sapronova
Senior Researcher, Uni Research AS, Norway
Short time ahead wind power production forecast

Abstract ID: 296
Tilman Koblitz
Optimisation Continental Manager, Vattenfall Energy Trading, The Netherlands
Uncertainty of wind power forecasts and optimising the use of weather intelligence

Abstract ID: 471
Richard Fruehmann
Associate Engineer, UL International GmbH, Germany
Wake effects at FINO 1 – new observations since the construction of Trianel Borkum & Borkum Riffgrund I wind farms